Thursday, October 2, 2008

Propheconomics


Say what you will about the sundry peculiarities of Ron Paul. His foresight regarding the current economic crisis is uncanny. Check out this quote from 2003.

The connection between the GSEs and the government helps isolate the GSE management from market discipline. This isolation from market discipline is the root cause of the recent reports of mismanagement occurring at Fannie and Freddie. After all, if Fannie and Freddie were not underwritten by the federal government, investors would demand Fannie and Freddie provide assurance that they follow accepted management and accounting practices.

Ironically, by transferring the risk of a widespread mortgage default, the government increases the likelihood of a painful crash in the housing market. This is because the special privileges granted to Fannie and Freddie have distorted the housing market by allowing them to attract capital they could not attract under pure market conditions. As a result, capital is diverted from its most productive use into housing. This reduces the efficacy of the entire market and thus reduces the standard of living of all Americans…

Like all artificially-created bubbles, the boom in housing prices cannot last forever. When housing prices fall, homeowners will experience difficulty as their equity is wiped out. Furthermore, the holders of the mortgage debt will also have a loss. These losses will be greater than they would have otherwise been had government policy not actively encouraged over-investment in housing.

Perhaps the Federal Reserve can stave off the day of reckoning by purchasing GSE debt and pumping liquidity into the housing market, but this cannot hold off the inevitable drop in the housing market forever. In fact, postponing the necessary, but painful market corrections will only deepen the inevitable fall. The more people invested in the market, the greater the effects across the economy when the bubble bursts….

I hope today’s hearing sheds light on how special privileges granted to GSEs distort the housing market and endanger American taxpayers. Congress should act to remove taxpayer support from the housing GSEs before the bubble bursts and taxpayers are once again forced to bail out investors who were misled by foolish government interference in the market


Ron Paul Revolution 2012!

HT: Joshua Sowin

2 comments:

Carrie Marie said...

Weeeeell...it doesn't take a genius to figure out that people should not be giving people loans who can't afford to PAY THEM.

Ron Paul just has the guts to actually say it.

Everyone else is just worried about how THEY can make the most money off of ANYTHING.

Jeffrey said...

Agreed. However, the majority of our legislators couldn't seem to figure this out 5 years ago when they had the ability to stop this social engineering catastrophe.